\September 25th, 2026 Len’s Political Note #841 Angie Nixon Florida US Senate
2026 General Election
I had written a piece in support of Alex Vindman for the US Senate from Florida. He was the whistleblower whose testimony led to Donald Trump’s first impeachment. A reader wrote to caution me. Vindman had a primary opponent. I looked into it Read what I could. And wrote back, assuring myself and the reader that Vindman was raising a lot of money and was in no danger.
State Rep Angie Nixon trounced Alexander Vindman in the primary 56-43. She certainly was far behind in fund raising. She raised less that $1 million dollars to Vindman’s $16 million. Out of necessity and conviction, Angie Nixon ran a grass roots campaign. Traveling the state in her Vangie, a van that carried food to eat and a pillow to nap on, she won the primary by knocking on doors rather than advertising on television. The country’s third most populous state – larger than New York, smaller than California and Texas, Florida is the 22nd largest state geographically – more square miles than Wisconsin, fewer than Missouri and Oklahoma.
Angie Nixon will have a little more money for the general election. People like you and I will donate money to her. The Democratic establishment will not. They have no expectation of a victory. She will continue her grass roots campaign, now against the sitting, unelected Senator Ashley Moody, who has been described as a “generic” Republican. Moody is not “generic,” She is pretty far into the right wing of the Republican Party. As a candidate to be Florida’s Attorney General, she sought an investigation of Michael Bloomberg’s plan to pay off the court debts of those with felony convictions in Florida so they would be eligible to vote after a referendum supported their voting rights. As Attorney General, she joined a law suit that argued the Affordable Care Act was unconstitutional, sought to disqualify ballot questions to legalize marijuana in Florida, and opposed ballot questions to expand abortion rights in the state.
Appointed to fill Marco Rubio’s Senate seat when he became Secretary of State Ashley Moody is now running for the Senate seat she was appointed to. She is so confident of a win, there appears to be no urgency to her campaign. Her campaign reminds me of nothing so much as Hillary Clinton’s 2016 campaign for President.
Never in her life has Angie Nixon done anything in a way that would be described lackadaisical. Daughter of a single mother in Jacksonville who worked two jobs, Angie Nixon went to the Stanton College Preparatory School for high school. Call it a selective, public, historically Black high school. Established in the 1860s and named for Lincoln’s Secretary of War, It was the first school for Black children in Florida. It has been recognized by the College Board as one of the top five schools offering Advanced Placement courses in the country.
Angie Nixon graduated from the University of Florida in 2007. She went to work for two years for the MaliVai Washington Children’s Foundation in Jacksonville, created by the Black professional tennis player of that name. Next up was working as an aide for the State Rep from her district after which she became the North Florida Regional Coordinator for the New Florida Majority. By 2015, she had formed her own organization – The Moxie Group, which provided strategic planning. Along the way, she accumulated two children and a husband who had three children of his own. In 2020, she was elected State Rep from Jacksonville.
In a reelection run, she was accused of not passing any bills. She responded saying she made a lot of noise and got people’s attention. That was accurate for earlier this year. She earned the first reprimand from the Florida House Ethics Committee in 20 years. As the House was considering mid-decade further gerrymandering of the state legislature and after her microphone was cut off, Angie Nixon marched around the room with a hot pink colored bull horn that matched her usual hot pink pant suit. She was shouting through that bull horn that the gerrymandering was illegal and that the leadership was destroying democracy in Florida.
In the hours after her primary win, Angie Nixon raised as much as she had raised in her entire campaign to that point. And she has gotten some attention. Back in July, a poll of likely voters had Ashley Moody leading Vindman 50-40 and Angie Nixon 50-42. The first poll after the primary, completed on September 9, had Moody and Nixon tied at 47-47. A second poll, completed on September 10, had Moody leading 50-43. And a third poll, completed on September 17, had them tied, this time at 45-45.
Angie Nixon is making noise and getting noticed. She still does not have much money. She has figured out how to win without much money; but she can’t win without any money. DONATE. Help Angie Nixon pull off one more upset.
The seats we planned to flip
North Carolina: Democrat Roy Cooper was elected twice as Attorney General and twice as Governor. He is looking to replace the retiring Republican Tom Tillis. You might be confident that he will defeat former national and state head of the Republican Party except for North Carolina’s habitual reluctance to send Democrats to Washington. In the several polls of Likely Voters that have been taken in September, he has sustained his lead: 52-44, 48-42, 49-34, and most recently 48-43. On June 30, Roy Cooper led Michael Whatley in funds available $20.7 million to $3.5 million. There are two cautions here: The most recent poll is the closest. And North Carolina’s reluctance to send a Democrat to Washington. DONATE to Roy Cooper If you want to keep the pressure on. See Len’s Political Note #744.
Ohio: Former three-term US Senator Sherrod Brown is running against the incumbent appointed Senator Jon Husted who replaced JD Vance after he resigned from the Senate to become Vice President. In 2024, Sherrod Brown had lost to now Senator Republican Bernie Moreno. In the Financial race, Sherrod Brown reported on June 30,2026 he had $16.2 million compared to the incumbent Jon Husted’s $9.4 million. The Republican PAC has committed $79 million to Husted. Others have committed more. The Democratic Senate PAC has committed $40 million to Sherrod Brown. Sherrod Brown’s lead has been slipping a little in September. Beginning early in the month, his lead among Likely Voters has been: 52-46, 47-42, 48-45, 45-42. DONATE to Sherrod Brown’s campaign. Sherrod Brown needs a lot of small donors to help him keep the popular lead. DONATE. See Len’s Political Note #750.
Alaska: Former Congresswoman Mary Peltola, a member of the native American Yu’pik people, has made herself so much of a moderate that her closest political ally is Alaska Republican US Senator Lisa Murkowski who was once elected to the US Senate with write-in votes after an extremist won the Republican primary. Mary Peltola has been both a state legislator and a tribal leader with a focus on preserving Alaska’s environment, Alaska’s fish, and Alaska’s way of life. Though she raised more money initially than the incumbent, Mary Peltola trails Dan Sullivan in funds available on July 29 — $4.6 million to $7.3 million. But the Democratic Senate PAC has committed more than $10 million in advertising funds to Mary Peltola, while Republican PACs have contributed to Sullivan’s funding lead, there has been no large national PAC commitment, yet. With a single exception, and that from a Republican poll, Mary Peltola retains her lead in the polls. From early to later in September, among Likely Voters, Peltola leads: 51-49 and 53-47. On September 17, a Republican pollster reported Sullivan leading 48-46. Help Mary Peltola maintain her overall lead. DONATE to her campaign. See Len’s Political Note #785.
Maine: Former State Senate President Troy Jackson won the Democratic nomination in a Democratic created public process after a rape accusation forced the initial nominee’s withdrawal. Troy Jackson is a poor speaker and, unlike the original nominee, Graham Platner, not charismatic. Troy Jackson’s organizational skills may be enough in what appears to be a Democratic year. Susan Collin’s substantial financial lead can make a difference here. On June 30, she reported having $11 million available for the campaign. The PAC devoted to her campaign is reported to have raised over $20 million. And the Republican Senate Leadership Fund may commit as much as $40 million to Collins. Troy Jackson has some resources. The Bangor Daily News reported on August 27, that he had raised $ 5.3 million. There are PACs supporting him as well, but his total support is unlikely to come to $10 million. It may be the money or something else, but the trajectory of September polls of Likely Voters looks problematic. Earliest first: Jackson 52-43, 48-45, 48-44, Collins 48-47. The Republicans really do not want to lose this seat. Neither do we. DONATE to Troy Jackson’s campaign. See Len’s Political Note #827.
Even if the lead in the expected flips is eroding a bit, Democrats have more Seats that have become toss ups or are close to being toss ups.
Texas: State Rep and seminary student James Talarico has dominated the airwaves and everything else in Texas. His opponent, Ken Paxton may finally be getting some outside help from Republican PACs to offset his own anemic fund raising. PAC support could amount to $100 million or more. It is possible that no amount of money can offset his criminal indictments and his legislative impeachment. James Talarico had $21.5 million of his own fund raising available on June 30 to Ken Paxton’s $1.8 million. James Talarico has maintained his lead in the polls. In four polls, beginning with the earliest in September, James Talarico led 50-45, 46-43, 47-46, and 49-43. Keep James Talarico in the lead right through November 3. DONATE. See Len’s Political Note #795.
Iowa: State Rep and former basketball Paralympian Josh Turek won his primary and is now running against Congresswoman and former television news anchor Ashley Hinson. Ashley Hinson, who had no primary, had $6.7 million available on June 30. Josh Turek had $2.4 million. The Republican Senate Majority PAC committed $30 million to the campaign. Vote Vets committed $8 million to Josh Turek’s campaign. The September polls have been very close. Beginning with the earliest September polls, we get the following for Likely Voters: Turek 46-42, Turek 45-43, A Republican funded mid-September poll found Turek and Hinson EVEN at 43. Another mid-September Republican pollster found Hinson ahead 46-42. And another Republican pollster found Hinson ahead 44-42 later in September. Don’t let pollsters who may have some bias fool you. Josh Turek will succeed with Iowans if he has resources. DONATE. See Len’s Political Note #817
Kansas: Adam Hamilton is pastor for the largest Methodist Church in the country. He entered the race late, won the Democratic primary handily, and may have Roger Marshall, who has been subject to embarrassing news coverage regarding his medical billing practices, on the run. Because he was a late entrant, Adam Hamilton trails Roger Marshall in the financial race as reported for July 15: $1.7 million to $5.4 million. I have no information about PAC contributions to either side. Three polls have been reported in September. The earliest was a Democratic funded poll which had Adam Hamilton leading 44-43. The next was a Republican poll which had Marshall leading 49-44. The third was funded by a right wing news organization which, nevertheless, had Adam Hamilton leading 45-43. With your help, Adam Hamilton can win. DONATE to his campaign. See Len’s Political Note #835
Nebraska: Independent union leader Dan Osborn ran for the Senate in 2024 and lost to the Republican incumbent by 6 points. This time, he is running against multimillionaire former governor and incumbent Senator Pete Ricketts. During their debate, Ricketts supported the war in Iran out of fear that Iran would develop a nuclear weapon. Dan Osborn said that the war plus tariffs are causing the high prices Nebraskans face. On June 30, Dan Osborn had $2.4 million while Pete Ricketts had $6.9 million. Ricketts has had modest support from outside PACs; Dan Osborn has rejected the possibility of receiving funds from a corporate PAC. Two polls in September of Likely Voters provide opposite results. In one, Dan Osborn led 46-42 In the other, which did not allow for any undecided, Pete Ricketts led 52-48. Make Dan Osborn a winner. DONATE to Dan Osborn’s campaign. See Len’s Political Note #765
South Carolina: Annie Andrews began running against the incumbent Lindsey Graham. Because of his death and the Republican special primary, Annie Andrews is now running against Lindsey Graham’s sister Darline Graham Nordone. Graham Nordone spent most of her career working with the blind. In 2019, she became South Carolina’s Commissioner for the Blind. Annie Andrews is a pediatrician — a hospitalist at the Medical University of South Carolina beginning in 2009 and a Professor of Pediatrics. In 2021. After she ran unsuccessfully for Congress, she founded and has served as CEO of Their Future, Our Vote. In the Financial campaign, on June 30 Annie Andrews had $4.1 million available According to Legis 1, Darine Graham Nordone had $250,000 at the time of her primary. She does not have access to Lindsey Graham’s campaign funds, but she may receive outside funds in her support. So far, though, the only substantial outside support for Graham Nordonne was less than $1 million, and those funds were focused on the Republican primary. Four polls have been reported in September. One poll of Likely Voters showed Graham Nordone ahead substantially: 55-42. The most recent poll of Llkely Voters showed Graham Nordone ahead 45-43. One September poll of Likely Voters, funded by Democrats, showed Annie Andrews ahead 42-39. And one more clearly neutral poll of Registered Voters had Annie Andrews ahead 48-47. Annie Andrews is close enough. She can win. Help her do just that. DONATE to her campaign. See Len’s Political Note #800.
