103119
Can we predict for 2020 what we are seeing in elections now? Daily Kos has reported that Democrats are outperforming Hillary Clinton’s margins by 5.5 points and Obama’s margins by a single point. Republicans keep choosing the most conservative candidate every time they have a primary – giving Democrats hope even in places where they might not have hope. Chaz Nuttycombe (an actual pundit) said, after the Louisiana primaries, but before the run-offs: Democrats would have net losses in 2019 state elections, but wins in 2020. November 5 is a big day. Races for governor in Mississippi and Kentucky. The Louisiana election for governor is later in the month. Democrats can’t feel confident about any of these races. That creates anxiety about 2020.